Rijeka 1-1 Sibenik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.2pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sibenik EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.49/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.62
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.3 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sibenik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.19 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
08.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.01.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
18.09.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
16.07.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-1
AWAY Sibenik
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Sibenik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka and Sibenik shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rijeka at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijeka had 63% of the ball to Sibenik's 37%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rijeka and 0.17 for Sibenik.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Sibenik?

Rijeka 1-1 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Sibenik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 61%, draw 21%, Sibenik 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ BTTS No
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