Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Dec 2024

Sibenik
0-1 HT 0-1
Rijeka
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

Sibenik vs Rijeka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
60%
-11.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sibenik v Rijeka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 64%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.84/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.77
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
208 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 73%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.2 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sibenik vs Rijeka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rijeka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 1.28
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 Passes 391
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
08.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.01.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
18.09.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
16.07.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
30.04.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 3-5 HT 2-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR

Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-1
AWAY Rijeka
0.62 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
218 Passes 218
61% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka nicked a narrow win over Sibenik 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sibenik had 51% of the ball to Rijeka's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.62 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sibenik and 2.00 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Rijeka?

Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 25%, draw 26%, Rijeka 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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