Osijek 3-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.43/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.47
-13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.9 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
333 Passes 224
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
04.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
27.02.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIRK
23.02.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
11.11.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
26.08.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
3-0
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.94 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
242 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek cruised past Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Osijek as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Osijek had 45% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 55%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.94 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osijek and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Osijek 3-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Osijek 46%, draw 26%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osijek) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
8 Dec 2024
17:00 Sibenik vs Rijeka Analysis →