NAC Breda 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Mar 2025

NAC Breda
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.2
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.45
6+
5%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.78
1/2 ✗
3%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.78
X/2
15%
5.15
X/X
18%
4.47
2/1
2%
32.5
2/2
23%
3.11
2/X
5%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 3% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

NAC Breda v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME NAC Breda The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam The Market 45%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
326 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
03.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HAZ
20.07.2019 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HAZ
14.07.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HAZ
18.04.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
25.08.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

NAC Breda 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
1 - 1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.53 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
430 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 31
29 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NAC Breda and Sparta Rotterdam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 41% lean on Sparta Rotterdam didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, NAC Breda had 55% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 45%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.53 to 1.17.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for NAC Breda and 2.00 for Sparta Rotterdam.

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam Result & Final Score

NAC Breda 1 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 30%, draw 29%, Sparta Rotterdam 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ BTTS Yes
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