Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Correcaminos UAT v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Correcaminos UAT
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
3-0
HT 1-0
Correcaminos UAT
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Correcaminos UAT
MEK2
Correcaminos UAT edged past Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 2.17 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Correcaminos UAT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 29%, draw 28%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.