Tychy 71 2-0 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.35 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.12
-10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tychy 71
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.08.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-1 HT 0-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tychy 71
2-0
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tychy 71 vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tychy 71 saw off Pogon Siedlce 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tychy 71 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tychy 71 had 51% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 49%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Tychy 71 vs Pogon Siedlce?

Tychy 71 2-0 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tychy 71 vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tychy 71 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tychy 71 47%, draw 26%, Pogon Siedlce 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tychy 71) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tychy 71) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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