Lodzki KS 3-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.03
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.09/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.74
-35% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lodzki KS
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.69 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-4 HT 0-2 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
11.03.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-1 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
01.09.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lodzki KS
3-1
AWAY Warta Poznan
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lodzki KS vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS got the better of Warta Poznan 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lodzki KS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lodzki KS had 62% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 38%, shots finished 23-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lodzki KS had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lodzki KS and 1.33 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Lodzki KS vs Warta Poznan?

Lodzki KS 3-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lodzki KS vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lodzki KS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lodzki KS 46%, draw 29%, Warta Poznan 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lodzki KS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lodzki KS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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