Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Mar 2025

Al Ahli Jeddah
2-2 HT 1-2
Al Khaleej
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.6pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Khaleej — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
2.44/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.96
-11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.1 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.84 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
368 Passes 242
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
29.12.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
17.08.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
04.03.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
27.08.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
28.02.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al Khaleej — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-2
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.19 xG 0.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
413 Passes 229
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahli Jeddah at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 62% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 38%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.19 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.67 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 62%, draw 23%, Al Khaleej 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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