Al Nassr 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Mar 2025

Al Nassr
2-2 HT 2-1
Al Shabab Riyadh
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.18
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
11%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.5pp
16%
Draw
22%
-6.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.7pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nassr v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.97/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.47
+19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.0 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.13 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
395 Passes 335
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
25.02.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
11.12.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-5 HT 1-3 Al Nassr Al Nassr SAKK
29.08.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
28.07.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh AŞMPL
23.05.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD

Al Nassr 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-2
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
293 Passes 435
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr and Al Shabab Riyadh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nassr at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 42% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 58%, shots finished 15-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Al Nassr and 1.17 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Nassr 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 57%, draw 16%, Al Shabab Riyadh 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5
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