AFC Totton 3-0 Horsham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.19
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
52%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.73 — our 52% vs market 48.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsham EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.18/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.02
-13% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Horsham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
3 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Horsham Horsham 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Totton AFC Totton İCON
09.12.2023 Horsham Horsham 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
3-0
AWAY Horsham
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Horsham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton swept aside Horsham 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Horsham at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Totton had 52% of the ball to Horsham's 48%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Totton and 1.00 for Horsham.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Horsham?

AFC Totton 3-0 Horsham in the England - Conference on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Horsham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 35%, draw 22%, Horsham 44%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Horsham) ✗ BTTS Yes
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