Maidenhead United 2-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.62/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.32
+6% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Maidstone United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İCON
18.03.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 2-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
26.11.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-2 HT 2-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
15.01.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-4 HT 1-3 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.08.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 3-2 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
09.12.2017 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
2-1
AWAY Maidstone United
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United edged past Maidstone United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Maidenhead United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 58% of the ball to Maidstone United's 42%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.33 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Maidstone United?

Maidenhead United 2-1 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 39%, draw 27%, Maidstone United 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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