Maidstone United 0-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.69/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.50
+27% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 2-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
26.11.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-2 HT 2-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
15.01.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-4 HT 1-3 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.08.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 3-2 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
09.12.2017 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
05.08.2017 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
0-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United squeezed past Maidstone United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Maidenhead United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Maidstone United had 47% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 53%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maidstone United and 2.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Maidenhead United?

Maidstone United 0-1 Maidenhead United in the England - Conference on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 39%, draw 29%, Maidenhead United 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maidstone United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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