Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.62/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.68
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Farnborough
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
21.09.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 3-3 HT 3-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
23.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
15.08.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
31.01.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 0-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.08.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town nicked a narrow win over Farnborough 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.17 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 48%, draw 23%, Farnborough 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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