Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.68/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.32
+3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chesham United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
20.08.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 1-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.03.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
18.10.2022 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 0-2 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
15.03.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
23.10.2021 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-1 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-0
AWAY Chesham United
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare squeezed past Chesham United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 47% of the ball to Chesham United's 53%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.33 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 51%, draw 27%, Chesham United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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