Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.79
2-3 Goals
48%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
7%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.36/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.25
-9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Chesham United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 1-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.03.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
18.10.2022 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 0-2 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
15.03.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
23.10.2021 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-1 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-1
AWAY Chesham United
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare and Chesham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 50% of the ball to Chesham United's 50%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.40 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?

Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 39%, draw 30%, Chesham United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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