Truro City 1-0 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.03
2-3 Goals
49%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.63
-6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 1-1 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
19.04.2023 Truro City Truro City 4-0 HT 2-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
25.10.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 0-3 HT 0-2 Truro City Truro City İNGNLP
09.10.2022 Truro City Truro City 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury FAK
15.03.2022 Truro City Truro City 1-3 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Salisbury Salisbury 1-3 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
1-0
AWAY Salisbury
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City squeezed past Salisbury 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Truro City had 65% of the ball to Salisbury's 35%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Truro City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Truro City and 0.83 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Salisbury?

Truro City 1-0 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Truro City 50%, draw 25%, Salisbury 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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