Salisbury 1-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

Salisbury
1-1 HT 0-1
Truro City
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Salisbury vs Truro City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salisbury v Truro City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Salisbury vs Truro City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Truro City
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2023 Truro City Truro City 4-0 HT 2-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
25.10.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 0-3 HT 0-2 Truro City Truro City İNGNLP
09.10.2022 Truro City Truro City 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury FAK
15.03.2022 Truro City Truro City 1-3 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Salisbury Salisbury 1-3 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury and Truro City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Truro City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Salisbury and 2.40 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Truro City?

Salisbury 1-1 Truro City in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 39%, draw 25%, Truro City 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salisbury), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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