Hereford FC 1-1 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.38/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.05
-18% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +44%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-4 HT 0-2 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
26.08.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
15.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-2 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
15.11.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
1-1
AWAY Peterborough Sports
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and Peterborough Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 53% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 47%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hereford FC and 0.75 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Peterborough Sports?

Hereford FC 1-1 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 46%, draw 26%, Peterborough Sports 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hereford FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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