Curzon Ashton 1-0 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-12.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.65/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.10
+8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-0
AWAY Oxford City
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton squeezed past Oxford City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Curzon Ashton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 48% of the ball to Oxford City's 52%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Oxford City?

Curzon Ashton 1-0 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 34%, draw 29%, Oxford City 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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