South Shields 2-1 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 27% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.46/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.23
-19% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 South Shields South Shields 1-1 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
14.10.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-2 HT 1-2 South Shields South Shields İCON
15.04.2023 South Shields South Shields 2-1 HT 2-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
26.11.2022 Warrington Town Warrington Town 3-2 HT 1-1 South Shields South Shields İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Warrington Town Warrington Town 3-1 South Shields South Shields FAK
22.01.2022 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-2 HT 1-2 South Shields South Shields İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
2-1
AWAY Warrington Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields edged past Warrington Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South Shields as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, South Shields had 60% of the ball to Warrington Town's 40%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for South Shields and 1.83 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Warrington Town?

South Shields 2-1 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split South Shields 46%, draw 24%, Warrington Town 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Shields), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Shields) ✓ Over 2.5
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