Needham Market 0-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
34%
4.34
Away
46%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.07
Over 2.5
41%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.2pp
34%
Draw
20%
+14.0pp
46%
Away Win
66%
-20.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
0-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United squeezed past Needham Market 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Needham Market had 45% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 55%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Scunthorpe United?

Needham Market 0-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 20%, draw 34%, Scunthorpe United 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
20 Aug 2024
21:45 Enfield Town vs Slough Town Analysis →
21:45 Curzon Ashton vs Oxford City Analysis →
21:45 Hereford FC vs Peterborough Sports Analysis →
21:45 Kings Lynn Town vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
21:45 South Shields vs Warrington Town Analysis →
21:45 Chester vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →