Chester 2-0 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 31% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
2-0
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester got the better of Radcliffe Borough 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chester had 51% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 49%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Chester vs Radcliffe Borough?

Chester 2-0 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chester 44%, draw 30%, Radcliffe Borough 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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