Welling United 2-0 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.29/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.62
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Worthing
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2024 Worthing Worthing 1-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
20.02.2024 Welling United Welling United 4-1 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
05.09.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
07.01.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-2 HT 2-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
13.08.2022 Welling United Welling United 2-4 HT 2-3 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
2-0
AWAY Worthing
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United saw off Worthing 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Welling United had 49% of the ball to Worthing's 51%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Welling United and 2.20 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Worthing?

Welling United 2-0 Worthing in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Welling United 27%, draw 30%, Worthing 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ BTTS Yes
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