Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.49/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.18
+13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
04.11.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.02.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
25.10.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
09.04.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
20.11.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
2-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels squeezed past Chelmsford City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Tonbridge Angels made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 60% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 40%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 0.83 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Chelmsford City?

Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 35%, draw 27%, Chelmsford City 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City)
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