Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hemel Hempstead Town v Farnborough — Team-Based Signals
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Hemel Hempstead Town
İCON
1-2
HT 0-2
Hemel Hempstead Town
İCON
1-0
HT 1-0
Farnborough
İCON
Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 Farnborough — Actual Match Statistics
Hemel Hempstead Town squeezed past Farnborough 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hemel Hempstead Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 49% of the ball to Farnborough's 51%, shots finished 8-16.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.00 for Farnborough.
What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough?
Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnborough?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 39%, draw 23%, Farnborough 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.