Chippenham Town 1-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.13 — our 26% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.59/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/1.66
+28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Torquay United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
20.12.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 3-2 HT 1-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-1
AWAY Torquay United
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town and Torquay United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 57% of the ball to Torquay United's 43%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chippenham Town and 2.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Torquay United?

Chippenham Town 1-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 35%, draw 22%, Torquay United 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torquay United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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