Peterborough Sports 1-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

Peterborough Sports
1-1 HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough Sports v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.02/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
07.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-2 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
27.09.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON

Peterborough Sports 1-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports and Alfreton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 59% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 41%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peterborough Sports and 2.00 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town?

Peterborough Sports 1-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 33%, draw 26%, Alfreton Town 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alfreton Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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