Blyth Spartans 0-1 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.44/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.54
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blyth Spartans
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
14.01.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 3-2 HT 1-1 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
29.08.2022 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans 1-2 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic squeezed past Blyth Spartans 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 35%) promised a tight game; Scarborough Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Blyth Spartans and 2.00 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Scarborough Athletic?

Blyth Spartans 0-1 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blyth Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 40%, draw 24%, Scarborough Athletic 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blyth Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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