Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.30/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.53
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Torquay United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2025 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
25.01.2020 Torquay United Torquay United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
08.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-4 HT 1-2 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
28.04.2018 Torquay United Torquay United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.10.2017 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
18.10.2008 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-2 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3-0
AWAY Torquay United
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United cruised past Torquay United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 53% of the ball to Torquay United's 47%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Torquay United?

Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 46%, draw 23%, Torquay United 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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