Torquay United 1-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.71/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.41
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
25.01.2020 Torquay United Torquay United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
08.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-4 HT 1-2 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
28.04.2018 Torquay United Torquay United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.10.2017 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
18.10.2008 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-2 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
18.08.2008 Torquay United Torquay United 0-2 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United nicked a narrow win over Ebbsfleet United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torquay United had 51% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 49%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torquay United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torquay United and 0.83 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Torquay United 1-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 40%, draw 30%, Ebbsfleet United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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