Edinburgh City 4-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
12.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.65/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.53
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 3.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stranraer
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
03.01.2026 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
18.10.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-3 HT 1-2 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
09.08.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
19.07.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
19.04.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
01.03.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City ran out comfortable winners over Stranraer 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stranraer at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Edinburgh City and 1.33 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?

Edinburgh City 4-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 32%, draw 22%, Stranraer 46%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stranraer) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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