Edinburgh City 1-3 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.32/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.59
-27% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stranraer
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
5 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
19.07.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
19.04.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
01.03.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
14.12.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
05.10.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-2 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer beat Edinburgh City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Edinburgh City at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Edinburgh City and 1.00 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?

Edinburgh City 1-3 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edinburgh City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 58%, draw 19%, Stranraer 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Edinburgh City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Edinburgh City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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