Dumbarton 1-2 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
14%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.9pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.02/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.39
-26% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Spartans
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.08.2025 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
17.05.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
14.05.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
16.03.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-6 HT 2-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
13.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
21.10.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans squeezed past Dumbarton 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dumbarton and 1.33 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Spartans?

Dumbarton 1-2 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 34%, draw 19%, Spartans 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5
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