La Serena 3-0 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -13%
1.44/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.35
-49% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.9 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
16.03.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
30.10.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
22.05.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
29.11.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
14.08.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
3-0
AWAY Union La Calera
1.75 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
269 Passes 379
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena ran out comfortable winners over Union La Calera 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had La Serena as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Serena had 42% of the ball to Union La Calera's 58%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.75 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Serena and 1.00 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Union La Calera?

La Serena 3-0 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split La Serena 50%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Serena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Serena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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