Union La Calera vs La Serena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union La Calera v La Serena — Team-Based Signals
Union La Calera vs La Serena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Union La Calera
ŞİL
1-1
HT 0-0
La Serena
ŞİL
1-2
HT 0-1
La Serena
ŞİL
1-2
HT 0-1
Union La Calera
ŞİL
0-3
HT 0-1
Union La Calera
ŞİL
Union La Calera 1-1 La Serena — Actual Match Statistics
Union La Calera and La Serena couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Union La Calera at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Union La Calera had 48% of the ball to La Serena's 52%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.74 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union La Calera and 1.17 for La Serena.
What was the final score of Union La Calera vs La Serena?
Union La Calera 1-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs La Serena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 43%, draw 25%, La Serena 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union La Calera) went the other way.