Nublense 1-0 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.25/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.15
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.2 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palestino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 294
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2025 Palestino Palestino 2-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
01.09.2024 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
14.04.2024 Nublense Nublense 0-2 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
12.11.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
29.04.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-2 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
11.09.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-0
AWAY Palestino
1.11 xG 1.63
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
233 Passes 467
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense nicked a narrow win over Palestino 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nublense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nublense had 36% of the ball to Palestino's 64%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.11 to 1.63 — on chances, Palestino could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nublense and 1.17 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Palestino?

Nublense 1-0 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nublense 38%, draw 27%, Palestino 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✗ BTTS Yes
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