JIPPO 1-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.61
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.36 — our 27% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
67%
-4.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 17%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/3.49
-29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
4W-1D-1L
AWAY KaPa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2025 JIPPO JIPPO 2-1 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
29.06.2025 JIPPO JIPPO 3-1 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
04.05.2025 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
15.02.2025 JIPPO JIPPO 2-1 KaPa KaPa FINYK
25.08.2024 KaPa KaPa 2-1 HT 1-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
17.07.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-4 HT 1-1 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO and KaPa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had JIPPO at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JIPPO had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for JIPPO and 1.17 for KaPa.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs KaPa?

JIPPO 1-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykköscup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 62%, draw 20%, KaPa 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JIPPO) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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