Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 2.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.07.2019 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP
12.05.2019 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
28.09.2014 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 0-2 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
3-0
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
31% Ball Possession 69%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 7
189 Passes 539
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga cruised past Consadole Sapporo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Matsumoto Yamaga found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 31% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 69%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.00 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo?

Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0 Consadole Sapporo in the JAP2-3 on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 36%, draw 27%, Consadole Sapporo 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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