Iwaki 1-1 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 39%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
158 Passes 163
61% Pass Accuracy 59%
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
29.04.2025 Iwaki Iwaki 2-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
26.03.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-3 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JLK
24.06.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-5 HT 0-3 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
17.05.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 2-1 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 11
99 Passes 176
49% Pass Accuracy 59%
10 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and Omiya Ardija couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Iwaki had 39% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 61%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Iwaki and 1.40 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?

Iwaki 1-1 Omiya Ardija in the JAP2-3 on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 41%, draw 24%, Omiya Ardija 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Iwaki), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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