Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
288 Passes 390
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP2
19.04.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-2 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
21.08.2024 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-2 HT 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2-0
AWAY Sagan Tosu
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 Passes 535
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi got the better of Sagan Tosu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Renofa Yamaguchi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 41% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 59%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.33 for Sagan Tosu.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu?

Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Sagan Tosu in the JAP2-3 on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 38%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5
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