Warrenpoint Town 1-2 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.0
Over 2.5
38%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.53
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 36% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
46%
+15.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
54%
-15.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.00/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.60
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrenpoint Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Institute FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
08.11.2025 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
06.09.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
26.12.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
08.10.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
14.02.2020 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL
26.12.2019 Institute FC Institute FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL
POST-MATCH Warrenpoint Town vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC nicked a narrow win over Warrenpoint Town 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Institute FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warrenpoint Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Warrenpoint Town and 0.67 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Warrenpoint Town vs Institute FC?

Warrenpoint Town 1-2 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrenpoint Town vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrenpoint Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Warrenpoint Town 37%, draw 27%, Institute FC 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Warrenpoint Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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