Annagh United 3-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +18%
1.71/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.19
-13% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
29.11.2025 Annagh United Annagh United 3-1 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
23.08.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
26.04.2025 Annagh United Annagh United 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
08.03.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
12.10.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
19.01.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United squeezed past Ards FC 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Annagh United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annagh United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Annagh United and 0.83 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Ards FC?

Annagh United 3-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 49%, draw 23%, Ards FC 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annagh United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annagh United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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