Ards FC 1-1 Annagh United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
9%
8.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 26% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Annagh United EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -25%
1.35/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.68
-29% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Annagh United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
19.08.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
14.04.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 1-2 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
04.03.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
22.10.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Annagh United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Annagh United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ards FC and 1.17 for Annagh United.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Annagh United?

Ards FC 1-1 Annagh United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Annagh United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 39%, draw 23%, Annagh United 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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