Institute FC 2-0 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

Institute FC
2-0
Newry City AFC
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Institute FC vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.53
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.0pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.69/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.00
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +91%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
499 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards –

Institute FC vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.10.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
14.08.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 5-1 HT 4-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
29.10.2019 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KILK
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC saw off Newry City AFC 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Institute FC and 2.33 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Newry City AFC?

Institute FC 2-0 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 47%, draw 23%, Newry City AFC 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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