12/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Dundela vs Armagh City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
21%
Draw
23%
28%
Away Win
21%
44%
Under 2.5
38%
56%
Over 2.5
62%
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
51%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundela v Armagh City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dundela
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Armagh City
EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
2.36/1.53
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.25/2.50
+17%
/
-10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-22%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
3
481 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.8
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dundela vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Armagh City squeezed past Dundela 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Dundela at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dundela vs Armagh City?
Dundela 0-1 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundela vs Armagh City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dundela 51%, draw 21%, Armagh City 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundela), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Dundela)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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KİRL1
More North Ireland - 1st Division
12 Oct 2024