Ballinamallard United 4-0 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.87
2-3 Goals
31%
2.05
4-5 Goals
30%
2.59
6+ Goals
18%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.4pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-10.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 59%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.67/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/1.00
-48% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bangor FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-4 HT 0-2 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
28.10.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.09.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 HT 0-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United cruised past Bangor FC 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bangor FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bangor FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.33 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Bangor FC?

Ballinamallard United 4-0 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 26%, draw 29%, Bangor FC 44%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bangor FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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