Annagh United 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
5.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.55
6+ Goals
10%
5.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.34 — our 28% vs market 13.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.4pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +15%
1.55/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.08
-33% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
12.10.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
19.01.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
19.08.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
14.04.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 1-2 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United edged past Ards FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Annagh United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Annagh United and 1.17 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Ards FC?

Annagh United 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 58%, draw 26%, Ards FC 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annagh United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annagh United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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