Armagh City 0-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+7.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.0pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -28%
2.56/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.94
+44% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
22.03.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
02.11.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 3-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
28.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United nicked a narrow win over Armagh City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Armagh City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Armagh City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Armagh City and 1.67 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United?

Armagh City 0-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Armagh City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 47%, draw 20%, Ballinamallard United 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Armagh City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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