Newry City AFC 0-3 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

Newry City AFC
0-3
Institute FC
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Newry City AFC vs Institute FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newry City AFC v Institute FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.43/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.73
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Newry City AFC vs Institute FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Institute FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
12.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
16.10.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
14.08.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 5-1 HT 4-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
29.10.2019 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KILK
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC swept aside Newry City AFC 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Institute FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Newry City AFC and 1.20 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Institute FC?

Newry City AFC 0-3 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 39%, draw 25%, Institute FC 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Newry City AFC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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