Ballinamallard United 2-0 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
18%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.68 — our 28% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.7pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.81/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.70
-7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Armagh City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.11.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 3-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
28.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United got the better of Armagh City 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Armagh City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ballinamallard United and 3.00 for Armagh City.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?

Ballinamallard United 2-0 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 44%, draw 22%, Armagh City 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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